Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.232556 0.267709 0.305511 0.349081 0.397804 0.450504 0.511705
2026-02-01 0.173544 0.220215 0.274497 0.341856 0.422726 0.516199 0.631883
2026-02-08 0.132619 0.184782 0.250120 0.336907 0.447965 0.584031 0.761891
2026-02-15 0.102128 0.155869 0.228145 0.330464 0.469265 0.648433 0.894168
2026-02-22 0.083073 0.138098 0.217127 0.335634 0.504918 0.733564 1.060312
2026-03-01 0.065999 0.119480 0.201418 0.331291 0.526082 0.800489 1.207655
2026-03-08 0.053928 0.105913 0.190551 0.331744 0.553085 0.876826 1.373366
2026-03-15 0.043298 0.092320 0.177115 0.325809 0.569010 0.937589 1.520672
2026-03-22 0.037860 0.086729 0.175775 0.338654 0.614635 1.045290 1.743954
2026-03-29 0.033309 0.081780 0.174600 0.351251 0.660529 1.156244 1.979071
2026-04-05 0.028235 0.074579 0.168036 0.353277 0.688521 1.240453 2.177640
2026-04-12 0.023763 0.067576 0.160600 0.352484 0.711072 1.316800 2.367777
2026-04-19 0.019848 0.060948 0.152947 0.350516 0.731730 1.392216 2.562681
2026-04-26 0.016659 0.055237 0.146209 0.349356 0.753539 1.470875 2.767638
2026-05-03 0.014002 0.050154 0.139920 0.348173 0.774949 1.550002 2.977800
2026-05-10 0.011614 0.045084 0.132705 0.343969 0.789890 1.618337 3.173057
2026-05-17 0.010186 0.042425 0.130768 0.350880 0.827170 1.729004 3.447677
2026-05-24 0.008500 0.038375 0.124577 0.347352 0.842797 1.800584 3.656660
2026-05-31 0.007266 0.035413 0.120641 0.348447 0.867902 1.891146 3.904102
2026-06-07 0.005992 0.031807 0.114213 0.342649 0.877656 1.952762 4.101559
2026-06-14 0.005490 0.031008 0.115618 0.356308 0.930710 2.101167 4.466461
2026-06-21 0.005024 0.030196 0.116842 0.369624 0.983973 2.252741 4.843960
2026-06-28 0.004343 0.028162 0.113939 0.371846 1.012318 2.356097 5.134740